FINA World Championships Predictions: Women’s 200 Fly

Aug 10, 2016; Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; Mirela Belmonte Garcia (ESP) celebrates after winning the women's 200m butterfly final in the Rio 2016 Summer Olympic Games at Olympic Aquatics Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Schumacher-USA TODAY Sports
Photo Courtesy: Rob Schumacher/USA TODAY Sports

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Mireia Belmonte won a historic victory for Spain in the women’s 200 fly at last summer’s Olympic Games, and with her closest competition out of action, she’s heavily favored to add a gold medal at the FINA World Championships.

She touched out Madeline Groves by just three hundredths for the top spot in Rio, but Groves and the next two highest-placing finishers, Japan’s Natsumi Hoshi and the USA’s Cammile Adams, will both be absent from the field this summer in Budapest.

No one has even swum under 2:06 yet this year, so it should not take any insanely fast times to get on the podium.

Read below to see what Swimming World’s trio of experts think will happen in Budapest. David RiederJohn Lohn and Andy Ross will each offer their predictions for who will finish on the podium.

Women’s 200 Fly

Current Records:

World Record: Liu Zige, CHN (2009) — 2:01.81
Championship Record: Jessicah Schipper, AUS (2009) — 2:03.41
American Record: Mary Descenza (2009) — 2:04.14

2015 World Champion: Natsumi Hoshi, JPN — 2:05.56
2016 Olympic Gold Medalist: Mireia Belmonte, ESP — 2:04.85
2017 World No. 1: Franziska Hentke, GER — 2:06.18

Swimming World Predictions

David Rieder’s Picks:

Gold: Mireia Belmonte, ESP
Silver: Suzuka Hasegawa, JPN
Bronze: Franziska Hentke, GER

John Lohn’s Picks:

Gold: Mireia Belmonte, ESP
Silver: Suzuka Hasegawa, JPN
Bronze: Emma McKeon, AUS

Andy Ross’ Picks:

Gold: Mireia Belmonte, ESP
Silver: Franziska Hentke, GER
Bronze: Liliana Szilagyi, HUN

Previous Events

Day One:

Day Two:

Day Three:

Day Four:

Day Five:

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commonwombat
commonwombat
7 years ago

Belmonte a fairly clear favourite. Minors = a lottery. Sakegawa & Hentke are probably consensus picks but realistically its open to anyone who really steps up.

Note that John picked McKeon for bronze. Whilst it will be interesting to see if she ever pursues this event at an intl level, it won’t be this year as she’s not entered in the event

Brownish
Brownish
7 years ago
Reply to  commonwombat

Szilagyi, as Ross picks it or Hosszu (if she’ll swim it, 80% ) can medal.

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